Vettigt om klimatet

Ja, jag erkänner, jag är trött på klimatförändringarna. Men den här intervjun med professor Roger Pielke, där han tipsar om fem böcker på temat i fråga, var faktiskt riktigt bra och får mig att vilja parafrasera Hayeks ord ur The fatal conceit:
The curious task of good science is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design. (‘economics’ ersätter ‘good science’ i förlagan).

Till exempel:

Right. And there’s an irony, which of course there always is in human actions, that some of the chemicals that are problematic from the standpoint of their climate influence, were introduced as a solution to chemicals that ate away at the ozone layer in the 70s and 80s that led to the Montreal Protocol. So one generation’s solution became the next generation’s problem.

This is a book that talks about the perils and limitations of policy wonk hubris – the idea that we are capable of large-scale top-down designs on society to have specific effects. It goes through a number of cases, such as urban planning, where the most well-intended thoughtful interventions don’t lead to the desired effect and sometimes have exactly the opposite effect. I would say an example would be global population policies, such as the Chinese one-child policy. It’s a good lesson for people thinking about climate change, whether to create a global policy for carbon dioxide emissions – we’ve seen that lead to corruption and mischievous accounting rather than emission reduction.

In every sector you find people who are very optimistic about the potential of their technology to make a big difference and I think that’s great. That’s the view we want technologists to have, but we know from history that not everything pans out. We need a large portfolio. We should invest in taking carbon out of the atmosphere, but also wind, solar, advanced nuclear power, tidal power and so on. We don’t know what the winners are going to be. The historical record of governments and others trying to pick winners in the technology race is not very good.


0 Responses to “Vettigt om klimatet”

  1. Kommentera


Fyll i dina uppgifter nedan eller klicka på en ikon för att logga in: Logo

Du kommenterar med ditt Logga ut /  Ändra )


Du kommenterar med ditt Google+-konto. Logga ut /  Ändra )


Du kommenterar med ditt Twitter-konto. Logga ut /  Ändra )


Du kommenterar med ditt Facebook-konto. Logga ut /  Ändra )


Ansluter till %s

Jag som bloggar här heter Niklas Elert. Till vardags jobbar jag på Ratio - Näringslivets forskningsinstitut. Jag är liberal i sociala och ekonomiska frågor.

Jag skriver för diverse tidningar på mer eller mindre regelbunden basis och har flera kreativa strängar på min lyra. Jag och min gode vän Jonas Sigedal har tillsammans skapat julkalendern Kommunen och skrivit det satiriska eposet Germania som gavs ut på Hydra Förlag 2008. Kommande projekt är en science fiction-roman med arbetsnamnet Rymdsalongen.


%d bloggare gillar detta: